After the first day of Group G play, the United States now have a 63 percent chance to advance to the round of 16. Jurgen Klinsmann's squad had a 33 percent chance of advancing before their 2-1 win over Ghana.

Germany has a 98 percent chance of advancing following their 4-0 win over Portugal.

Portugal has dropped to 27 percent chance, while Ghana is an extreme longshot at 12 percent.