The United States are being given a 35.5 percent chance of advancing out of Group G by Five Thirty Eight using SPI's odds.

There is a 9.7 percent chance of winning the group and a 25.8 percent chance of coming in second, which means there is a 64.5 percent chance of being eliminated during the group stage.

The United States' best shot at winning is against Ghana with a 38 percent probability, which drops to 32 percent against Portugal and 13 percent against Germany.