Manchester City and Arsenal have been the best two clubs in the Premier League this season by a comfortable margin based on expected goals.

City are given 60 percent odds to win the Premier League, while Arsenal's odds come in at 35 percent. Manchester United are a distant third at five percent.

City has a 99 percent chance of finishing in the top-4, while Arsenal's odds are at 97 percent and Manchester United is at 70 percent.

For the fourth spot, Chelsea has a 49 percent chance, followed by Liverpool at 34 percent, Tottenham Hotspur at 24 percent, West Ham at nine percent and Southampton at six percent.

Beyond City and Arsenal, Spurs are the only clubs in the top-4 in both expected goals scored and expected goals allowed.