Arsenal is being given a 65 percent chance of winning the Premier League, according to projections from Michael Caley.
Arsenal defeated Manchester City 2-1 on Monday to go four points clear, but remain two points behind Leicester City at the top of the table.
City has a 25 percent chance of winning the title, followed by Leicester, Spurs and United with three percent apiece.
Caley's model predicts Chelsea finishes eighth.