Manchester City defeated Arsenal 4-1 on Wednesday in a match that was long anticipated to go a long ways in deciding the Premier League. 

City is now within two points of Arsenal with two matches in hand.

Pep Guardiola had insisted for weeks that Arsenal were favorites, but he's now more confident in City's chances of winning their fifth title in six years.

"Absolutely my position now, because it's in our hands. We have to win the games in hand, but it depends on us. Until today, I preferred Arsenal's position.

"The next three games are really important. Fulham on Sunday, then two games at home. These three games will dictate if we do what we have to do. It sounds naive, but we are behind Arsenal, they are two points in front of us."

FiveThirtyEight gives City a 90 percent probability of winning the Premier League.